Decent article about conventional wisdom versus Bill James with respect to closers. Here’s a small sample:
In other words, don’t be cowed by the conventional wisdom that stipulates a ninth-inning lead must be handed over to a ninth-inning pitcher whose confidence about retiring the last three batters in a game is hard-wired into his brain. That’s how the world works these days, but the definition of a closer is not sacrosanct. To the contrary, it’s open to some tweaking. A committee of closers? Why not?
James believes that a traditional closer (i.e. the team’s best relief pitcher) is eight times more valuable in a tie game than when his team has a three-run lead. I’m sure that’s about right, but the article doesn’t really elaborate; it just concludes: “When Bill James makes a case that a reliever such as Putz can be eight times more important in a tie game than he is with a three-run lead, trust the source.”
1 response so far ↓
MJ // April 8, 2008 at 12:08 pm |
While I tend to agree that a team’s best reliever shouldn’t be saved (no pun intended) for the final three outs of a game that isn’t in question, I don’t like articles that simply justify their conclusions based on the so-called brilliance of Bill James.